鉴往知来:中国居民基层政治参与行为的变迁趋势及其启示Foresee the Future by Reviewing the Past: The Changing Trends and Implications of Grassroots Political Participation Behavior in China
谢胜华,康敏,冷向明
摘要(Abstract):
既有关于中国居民基层政治参与行为的研究大多缺乏历时态关怀。本文致力于把时间变量纳入政治参与行为研究,从年龄-时期-队列(APC)的分析视角出发,揭示居民基层政治参与行为的变迁趋势。基于CGSS(2005—2021年)共9轮调查数据的分析发现,在时间维度上,居民基层政治参与行为在年龄效应上呈现倒“U”形趋势;在时期效应上呈现渐次缓慢且波动上升的趋势;在队列效应上,不同代际居民受教育背景及经济状况的影响而呈现出显著差异。在空间维度上,城乡居民基层政治参与行为在年龄和时期效应上呈现出显著异质性。基于上述实证分析,本文为提升居民基层政治参与水平提出对策建议。
关键词(KeyWords): 基层群众;政治参与行为;年龄-时期-队列分析;基层治理;分层结构模型
基金项目(Foundation): 国家社会科学基金青年项目(项目批准号:24CGL119)的资助
作者(Author): 谢胜华,康敏,冷向明
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