王翔,胡悦

• 1:南开大学周恩来政府管理学院
• 2:清华大学社会科学学院

摘要(Abstract)：

对流动人口犯罪依法进行审判，是司法参与社会治理的重要方式，亦是保障流动人口有序治理的重要防线。本文聚焦流动人口司法裁判问题，基于164790份裁判文书数据展开系统分析，从裁判差异角度实证考察司法对流动人口犯罪的治理策略与运作机制。研究发现，流动人口犯罪司法治理呈现出约束效应和包容效应并存的双重倾向：相较于本地人口犯罪，司法对流动人口犯罪判决刑期量刑更严，约束性更强；但同时，司法判决又受当地经济和文化两大维度影响，对司法约束性形成非线性调节。两种效应共同塑造了流动人口司法治理力度，为规范流动人口有序发展构建了法治化空间。准确把握这两种司法效应，有助于为完善我国流动人口犯罪防控体系提供更为坚实的经验支撑。

关键词(KeyWords)： 流动人口;法政治学;裁判文书;语言距离;经济发展

Abstract:

Keywords:

基金项目(Foundation): 国家自然科学基金委面上项目“经济不平等的经济与治理认知塑造机制与行为政策引导策略研究”(项目批准号:72374116);; 司法部2024年度法治建设与法学理论研究部级科研项目青年课题“非诉讼纠纷解决机制的治理效能研究”(项目批准号:24SFB3006);; 南开大学前沿交叉学科研究院青年交叉研究项目“大数据时代的民主参与机制变迁：基于陪审制度的法政治学分析”,南开大学“百名青年学科带头人培养计划”的资助

作者(Author): 王翔,胡悦

参考文献(References)：

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• (1)为了作图简洁,“走私、贩卖、运输、制造毒品罪”在图中简称“毒品罪”;“引诱、容留、介绍卖淫罪”在图中简称“卖淫罪”。 (2)为了作图简洁清晰,根据《关于调整城市规模划分标准的通知》,我们将Ⅰ型小城市、Ⅱ型小城市、中等城市合并归类为“中小城市”,Ⅰ型大城市、Ⅱ型大城市合并归类为“大城市”。 (3)该方法综合方言的语言学特征、地理因素、历史因素等,对其相似性进行量化赋值。其对语言距离的测量有效性已经获得了语言经济学、语言政治学大量研究的支持(Fearon and Laitin,2008;Laitin and Ramachandran,2016)。同时在操作层面,这一方法也被广泛应用于流动人口研究中,方法和成果获得学界认可(刘毓芸等,2015;Hu and Pizzi,2022)。 (4)阻却事由主要包含两种情形,一是正当防卫,二是紧急避险。案件中如果出现任何一种情形,记为1,否则为0。